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Andreas Murr
Andreas Murr
Political Studies, CIDE
Geverifieerd e-mailadres voor cide.edu - Homepage
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“Wisdom of crowds”? A decentralised election forecasting model that uses citizens’ local expectations
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 30 (4), 771-783, 2011
1002011
The wisdom of crowds: Applying Condorcet’s jury theorem to forecasting US presidential elections
AE Murr
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 916-929, 2015
602015
Mapping subnational poverty in Zambia
A De la Fuente, A Murr, E Rascón
World Bank, Washington, DC, 2015
452015
The wisdom of crowds: What do citizens forecast for the 2015 British General Election?
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 41, 283-288, 2016
432016
Social networks and citizen election forecasting: The more friends the better
D Leiter, A Murr, ER Ramírez, M Stegmaier
International Journal of Forecasting 34 (2), 235-248, 2018
382018
Vote expectations versus vote intentions: rival forecasting strategies
AE Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
British Journal of Political Science 51 (1), 60-67, 2021
212021
Modeling latent information in voting data with Dirichlet process priors
R Traunmüller, A Murr, J Gill
Political Analysis 23 (1), 1-20, 2015
142015
The party leadership model: An early forecast of the 2015 British general election
AE Murr
Research & Politics 2 (2), 2053168015583346, 2015
132015
Citizen forecasting 2020: A state-by-state experiment
AE Murr, MS Lewis-Beck
PS: Political Science & Politics 54 (1), 91-95, 2021
92021
hot. deck: Multiple Hot-deck Imputation
S Crammer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong
R package version 1 (0), 2016
72016
Citizen forecasting 2019: a big win for the Conservatives
A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
British Policy and Politics at LSE, 1-4, 2019
52019
Citizen Forecasting in the 2010 British General Election
AE Murr
University of Essex, 2013
52013
Citizen forecasts of the 2021 German election
AE Murr, MS Lewis-Beck
PS: Political Science & Politics 55 (1), 97-101, 2022
42022
Computing quantities of interest and their uncertainty using Bayesian simulation
A Murr, R Traunmüller, J Gill
Political Science Research and Methods 11 (3), 623-632, 2023
32023
Citizen Forecasting: The 2022 French Presidential Election
Y Dufresne, B Jérôme, MS Lewis-Beck, AE Murr, J Savoie
PS: Political Science & Politics 55 (4), 730-734, 2022
32022
Do party leadership contests forecast British general elections?
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 72, 102342, 2021
32021
Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president
A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
USApp–American Politics and Policy Blog, 2016
22016
Package ‘hot. deck’
S Cranmer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong, MD Armstrong
12014
Truss is good news for Labour’s electoral prospects
AE Murr, S Fisher
British Politics and Policy at LSE, 2022
2022
Citizen forecasting suggests Macron will win a comfortable victory over Marine Le Pen
AE Murr, Y Dufresne, J Savoie, B Jérôme, MS Lewis-Beck
LSE European Politics and Policy (EUROPP) blog, 2022
2022
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Artikelen 1–20