Paul Birrell
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HIV incidence in men who have sex with men in England and Wales 2001–10: a nationwide population study
PJ Birrell, ON Gill, VC Delpech, AE Brown, S Desai, TR Chadborn, ...
The Lancet infectious diseases 13 (4), 313-318, 2013
Bayesian modeling to unmask and predict influenza A/H1N1pdm dynamics in London
PJ Birrell, G Ketsetzis, NJ Gay, BS Cooper, AM Presanis, RJ Harris, ...
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108 (45), 18238-18243, 2011
Changes in severity of 2009 pandemic A/H1N1 influenza in England: a Bayesian evidence synthesis
AM Presanis, RG Pebody, BJ Paterson, BDM Tom, PJ Birrell, A Charlett, ...
Bmj 343, 2011
Prospects of elimination of HIV with test-and-treat strategy
ME Kretzschmar, MFS van der Loeff, PJ Birrell, D De Angelis, ...
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110 (39), 15538-15543, 2013
Community prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in England from April to November, 2020: results from the ONS Coronavirus Infection Survey
KB Pouwels, T House, E Pritchard, JV Robotham, PJ Birrell, A Gelman, ...
The Lancet Public Health 6 (1), e30-e38, 2021
Bayesian emulation and calibration of a dynamic epidemic model for A/H1N1 influenza
M Farah, P Birrell, S Conti, DD Angelis
Journal of the American Statistical Association 109 (508), 1398-1411, 2014
Four key challenges in infectious disease modelling using data from multiple sources
D De Angelis, AM Presanis, PJ Birrell, GS Tomba, T House
Epidemics 10, 83-87, 2015
HIV in hiding: methods and data requirements for the estimation of the number of people living with undiagnosed HIV
Working Group on Estimation of HIV Prevalence in Europe
Aids 25 (8), 1017-1023, 2011
OutbreakTools: a new platform for disease outbreak analysis using the R software
T Jombart, DM Aanensen, M Baguelin, P Birrell, S Cauchemez, ...
Epidemics 7, 28-34, 2014
Joint modelling of serological and hospitalization data reveals that high levels of pre-existing immunity and school holidays shaped the influenza A pandemic of 2009 in the …
DE Te Beest, PJ Birrell, J Wallinga, D De Angelis, M van Boven
Journal of The Royal Society Interface 12 (103), 20141244, 2015
Estimating and modelling the transmissibility of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome CoronaVirus during the 2015 outbreak in the Republic of Korea
XS Zhang, R Pebody, A Charlett, D De Angelis, P Birrell, H Kang, ...
Influenza and other respiratory viruses 11 (5), 434-444, 2017
Estimating trends in incidence, time-to-diagnosis and undiagnosed prevalence using a CD4-based Bayesian back-calculation
PJ Birrell, TR Chadborn, ON Gill, VC Delpech, D De Angelis
Statistical Communications in Infectious Diseases 4 (1), 2012
Evidence synthesis for stochastic epidemic models
PJ Birrell, D De Angelis, AM Presanis
Statistical science: a review journal of the Institute of Mathematical …, 2018
Ct threshold values, a proxy for viral load in community SARS-CoV-2 cases, demonstrate wide variation across populations and over time
AS Walker, E Pritchard, T House, JV Robotham, PJ Birrell, I Bell, JI Bell, ...
medRxiv, 2020.10. 25.20219048, 2021
Synthesising evidence to estimate pandemic (2009) A/H1N1 influenza severity in 2009–2011
AM Presanis, RG Pebody, PJ Birrell, BDM Tom, HK Green, H Durnall, ...
The Annals of Applied Statistics, 2378-2403, 2014
Reconstructing a spatially heterogeneous epidemic: Characterising the geographic spread of 2009 A/H1N1pdm infection in England
PJ Birrell, XS Zhang, RG Pebody, NJ Gay, D De Angelis
Scientific reports 6 (1), 1-10, 2016
Viral load in community SARS-CoV-2 cases varies widely and temporally
AS Walker, E Pritchard, T House, JV Robotham, PJ Birrell, I Bell, JI Bell, ...
medRxiv, 2020
Real-time nowcasting and forecasting of COVID-19 dynamics in England: the first wave
P Birrell, J Blake, E Van Leeuwen, N Gent, D De Angelis
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20200279, 2021
Extending Bayesian back-calculation to estimate age and time specific HIV incidence
F Brizzi, PJ Birrell, MT Plummer, P Kirwan, AE Brown, VC Delpech, ...
Lifetime data analysis 25 (4), 757-780, 2019
Real-time modelling of a pandemic influenza outbreak.
PJ Birrell, RG Pebody, A Charlett, XS Zhang, D De Angelis
Health Technology Assessment (Winchester, England) 21 (58), 1, 2017
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